Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 413.539730 471.581620 536.606658 615.182678 707.996358 814.666969 947.303506
2025-08-24 325.886720 400.525856 492.121892 614.108631 774.293631 980.269391 1269.772022
2025-08-31 273.986330 353.471709 457.026719 604.290869 812.417900 1102.438739 1548.863652
2025-09-07 242.443235 325.097220 438.088449 607.660828 862.549824 1243.105985 1877.864918
2025-09-14 213.837618 295.718179 412.071152 594.550720 883.280572 1340.382311 2158.023265
2025-09-21 193.778872 275.407675 395.484266 591.466251 916.541800 1460.208840 2500.000185
2025-09-28 171.734916 249.423634 366.898290 564.902352 906.247098 1503.734040 2713.125407
2025-10-05 163.673720 243.568720 368.198924 586.125304 978.957996 1704.376689 3276.000603
2025-10-12 157.784873 240.306561 372.929965 613.241147 1065.842172 1947.547018 3995.134011
2025-10-19 148.180293 230.006010 364.784084 616.357427 1108.032654 2110.781351 4585.392436
2025-10-26 136.384124 214.968875 347.016878 599.557159 1108.465666 2187.005474 4990.350381
2025-11-02 126.753414 202.741376 332.894875 587.733463 1116.858345 2281.627154 5471.055576
2025-11-09 122.397918 199.369463 334.391055 606.688228 1193.938587 2551.375301 6531.396896
2025-11-16 115.603730 191.152562 326.326913 605.754462 1228.045352 2728.022258 7397.227479
2025-11-23 108.367590 181.537111 314.729206 596.094252 1240.768859 2854.159592 8158.404577
2025-11-30 103.421366 175.679055 309.663531 599.409392 1284.180104 3070.408121 9314.725855
2025-12-07 97.045744 166.684555 297.731745 586.512387 1286.369959 3175.069554 10125.014814
2025-12-14 92.313929 160.434542 290.657052 583.477920 1312.683187 3355.112233 11311.997988
2025-12-21 85.558433 149.870670 274.118437 557.342475 1275.807921 3340.174078 11708.849098
2025-12-28 84.052258 149.332041 277.872937 578.223432 1366.320021 3740.142436 14111.397799
2026-01-04 83.117023 149.826373 283.777721 604.898723 1477.847417 4242.470145 17347.636171
2026-01-11 80.097587 145.944079 280.102885 607.964120 1523.435641 4536.470410 19763.802732
2026-01-18 75.635127 138.859931 269.008422 591.437556 1509.142087 4614.601379 21064.968954